News in end use

Statistics Canada (StatsCan) reported today (11-30-21) that real gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.1% in September. This occurred as declines in the manufacturing, construction, and retail trades were more than compensated for by expansions in service-producing industries, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction. However, for the fifth consecutive month construction declined, down -0.7% in September.

According to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, which covers all nine U.S. Census divisions, reported today (11-30-21) that home prices experienced a 19.5% annual gain in September — down from the 19.8% annual gain in August 2021.

The Conference Board, a non-partisan, not-for-profit think tank founded in 1916, released today (11-30-21) their Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for November 2021. The CCI declined in November following an uptick in October and decreases in August, July, and June. The Index now stands at 109.5 (1985=100), down from 111.6 in October.

The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) reported on Monday (11-29-21) that their Pending Homes Sales Index (PHSI) — based on signed real estate contracts, not actual closings for existing single-family homes, condominiums, and co-ops — increased 7.5% month-over-month in October 2021 to a reading of 125.2.

Statistics Canada (StatsCan) is reporting today (11-29-21) that the price of products manufactured in Canada, as measured by the Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI), rose 1.3% month-over-month in October. This follows a 1.2% monthly increase in September. The IPPI was up 16.7% higher year-over-year.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly announced on Wednesday (11-24-21) that new residential single-family home sales for October 2021 were at a SAAR of 745,000, according to estimates. This is 0.4% above the revised September rate of 742,000 but is -23.1% below the October 2020 estimate of 969,000.

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending November 24, 2021. The PMMS reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.10% with an average 0.7 point, unchanged from last week. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.72%.

The University of Michigan today (11-24-21) released its final Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) for November. The Index of Consumer Sentiment declined to a reading of 67.4 in November, down from 71.7 in October. This is a month-over-month decrease of -6.0% and a year-over-year decrease of -12.4% (76.9 in November 2020).

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released today (11-24-21) its “second” estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) for Q3 2021. The BEA reports GDP was at an annual rate of 2.1%. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the “advance” estimate which was issued last month.

According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Application Survey (WMAS), for the week ending November 19, 2021, the Market Composite Index (a measure of mortgage loan application volume) increased 1.8% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.