News in end use

Less than a year ago with the COVID-19 pandemic gripping Canada, the Canadian Mortgage Housing Corporation (CMHC) predicted dire consequences for home prices. Housing prices could plummet, the now former president and CMHC CEO said between 9-18%. History and data have proved that prediction to be incorrect.

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Trends Report (HTP) is reporting that of the 16% of American adults considering a future home purchase in Q1 of 2021, 64% have moved beyond planning and are actively trying to find one to buy. That is up from the comparable 49% share a year ago.

According to the latest National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) / Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI), housing affordability modestly declined during Q1 of 2021. This is the result of rising material costs and supply shortages, along with increased mortgage rates, all of which signaled affordability challenges for the remainder of the year.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is reporting that total nonfarm payroll employment in April increased by 266,000 following increases of 770,000 in March and 536,000 in February. In April, nonfarm employment was down by 8.2 million, or 5.4%, from its pre-pandemic level in February 2020.

According to a recent survey conducted by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), which happens to coincide with start of National Remodeling month in May, confidence in the remodeling market continues to increase. In the survey, 5% of remodelers reported that more than half of their projects in 2020 were a direct consequence of the pandemic.

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending May 6, 2021. The PMMS reports that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.96% percent with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.98%.

According to the latest released Job-Cut Report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas (CG&C), Inc, a global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm, planned job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers fell 25% in April to 22,913 from the 30,603 announced in March.

The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 498,000 Americans made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, May 1, 2021 — a decrease of 92,000 from the previous week’s revised level. This is the lowest level for this average of initial claims since March 14, 2020, when it was 256,000.

According to Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) analysis of data published by the U.S. Census Bureau, national nonresidential construction decreased 1.1% in March. On a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, nonresidential spending totaled $778.5 billion in March.

According to the April ADP® National Employment Report™, nonfarm private sector employment private sector employment increased by 742,000 jobs from March to April. The ADP National Employment Report is produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics.