The Index of Consumer Sentiment is at a reading of 76.8. This is below January’s reading of 79.0 (-2.8%) and down from February 2020 reading of 101.0 (-24.0%).
News in end use
Federal Housing Finance Agency Extends Forbearance Period to 18-Months
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) on Thursday (2/25/21), announced that borrowers with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be eligible for an additional forbearance extension of up to six months. On February 9th, the FHFA extended forbearance plans an additional three months beyond their initial 12-month expiration.
Real GDP Increases 4.1% in Q4 2020 in Bureau of Economic Analysis “Second” Estimate
According to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.1% in Q4 of 2020.
30-Year Mortgage Rate Increases to 2.97% in the Week Ending February 25, 2021
Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending February 25th, 2021. The PMMS reports that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.97% with an average 0.6 point, up from last week when it averaged 2.81%.
Weekly Jobless Claims Decline in the Week Ending February 20, 2021
The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 730,000 Americans made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, February 20th, 2021. This is a decrease of 111,000 from the previous week’s revised level.
Pending Homes Decline -2.8% in January, but Year-Over-Year are up 13.0%
The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) has reported their Pending Homes Sales Index (PHSI) — which is based on signed real estate contracts, not actual closings, for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops — declined -2.8% in January to a reading of 122.8.
Mortgage Applications Decline 11.4% in Week Ending February 19, 2021
According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Application Survey, for the week ending February 19th, 2021, the Market Composite Index , a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased -11.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.
New Residential Single Family Home Sales Up 4.3% from December 2020 and Up Year-Over-Year 19.3%
The U.S. Census Bureau is reporting that according to their estimates new residential single-family home sales for January 2021 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 923,000. This is 4.3% above the revised December rate of 885,000, and is 19.3% above the January 2020 estimate.
Accelerated New Home Sales Growth Helps to Reduce the Volume of Outstanding Construction Loans
According to survey data gathered by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) the volume of residential construction lending posted a modest decline during Q4 of 2020. This continues a pattern of volume declines that began at the end of 2019.
New Family Home Size Stabilize in Q4 2020 as Pandemic Shifts Consumer Preferences
According to Q4 2020 data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Quarterly Starts and Completion by Purpose and Design and analysis provide by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) after years of decline, new home sizes did level off in 2020.