The University of Michigan today (6-11-21) released its preliminary Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June. Month-over-month the ICS rose 4.2% from 82.9% in May to 86.4% in June. When compared to June 2020, the ICS increased 10.6% or 78.1% to 86.4%.
News in end use
Canadian Total Investment in Building Construction Increases 6.3% in April
Statistics Canada (StatsCan) is reporting that total investment in building construction increased 6.3% to $19.9 billion (CAD) in April. Residential construction investment continues to lead the way, rising for the 12th consecutive month.
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers Increases 0.6% in May, 5.0% Year-Over-Year
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced on Thursday (6-10-21) the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers (CI-U) increased 0.6% in May, on a seasonally adjusted basis, after rising 0.8% in April. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 5.0% before seasonal adjustment.
Weekly Jobless Claims Drop in the Week Ending June 5, 2021
The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 376,000 Americans made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, June 5, 2021 — a decrease of 9,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level.
Mortgage Rates Trend Lower in the Week Ending June 10, 2021
Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending June 10, 2021. The PMMS reports that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.96% with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.99% percent.
Construction Shift to Suburbs Continued in Q1 2021
According to the latest National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) Home Building Geography Index (HBGI), the trend that started in Q2 2020, in response to COVID-19 pandemic, of single-famil home building shifting to lower-density and low-cost markets continued unabated through Q1 2021. The suburban shift, however, has been even more pronounced in the multifamily sector, which is experiencing growth in 2021 after a slight decline in 2020.
Open Construction Job Positions Near 2-year High in April
A closer examination of The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for April 2021, with additional analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), reveals that the count of open construction jobs increased in April to 357,000 unfilled positions.
Mortgage Applications Decline for Third Consecutive Week in the Week Ending June 4, 2021
According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Application Survey, for the week ending June 24, 2021, the Market Composite Index — a measure of mortgage loan application volume — decreased by 3.1% percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. This week’s results include an adjustment for the Memorial Day holiday.
Labor Shortages Slow Business Growth in May
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), reported today (6-8-21) that the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell -.02 points in May to a reading of 99.6. In May, there was a slight pause in the recovery of small business optimism after steadily improving from January through April 2021. In May a record-high number of business owners (48%) reported unfilled job openings.
Shares of Mortgages in Forbearance Decline for Fourteenth Week in a Row in Week Ending May 30, 2021
The latest Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Forbearance and Call Survey reports that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 2 basis points from 4.18% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 4.16% as of May 30, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate, 2.1 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.