News in end use

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending September 9, 2021. The PMMS reports that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.88% with an average 0.7 point, up slightly from last week when it averaged 2.87%. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.86%.

The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 310,000 Americans made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, September 4, 2021. This is a decrease of 35,000 from the previous week’s revised level, the lowest level for initial claims since March 14, 2020, when it was 256,000.

According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Application Survey (WMAS), for the week ending September 3, 2021, the Market Composite Index — a measure of mortgage loan application volume — decreased -1.9% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased -3% compared with the previous week.

The latest Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Forbearance and Call Survey reports that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 2 basis points from 3.25% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week, to 3.23% as of August 29, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate, 1.6 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) today (9-8-21) reported its Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for July 2021. According to the JOLTS report, as of the last business day in July, the number and rate of job openings was at a series record high of 10.9 million, or +749,000. The job openings rate increased to 6.9%.

According to the latest National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Home Building Geography Index (HBGI), in Q2 of 2021 residential construction continued its shift towards the suburbs and lower-cost markets, and this trend is particularly evident within the multifamily sector.

According to the National Association of Home Builder’s analysis of the latest Survey of Construction (SOC) data, which comes from interviews of builders and owners of selected new houses, the median square foot price in a new custom single-family detached (SFD) homes started in 2020 increased 8%. Excluding ‘soaring’ improved lot values, the average SFD increased 4%.

Smith Leonard’s latest Monthly Furniture Insight survey of residential furniture manufacturers and distributors reported that June 2021 sales were 7% higher year-over-year. In the survey report, Smith Leonard points out that the results of their monthly survey of residential furniture manufacturers and distributors have shown significant swings when comparing to the previous year’s monthly results.

A closer look at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) total nonfarm payroll report for August 2021, with a focus on construction employment and analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), reveals that residential construction employment rose by 17,400 in August, while non-residential construction lost -20,300 positions, reflecting declines in builders (-2,800), nonresidential specialty trade contractors (-9,200), and heavy and civil engineering construction (-8,300).

According to the latest Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index (CCI), consumer confidence declined for the third week in a row — a reflection of the ongoing concern about a softening economic outlook. The CCI fell 1 point to a reading of 61.6 last week. This is the lowest level since March of this year.