News in end use

Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group announced on Wednesday that they were downgrading their expectations for full-year 2022 and 2023 real GDP growth. The ESR indicated that softening consumer spending and downward revision to business inventory investment data amid record inflation and higher interest rates were the cause for the downgrade.

The Conference Board released today the Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. in June of 2022. According to the report, the LEI for the U.S. declined 0.8% in June, falling to a reading of 117.1 (2016=100). The decrease follows a 0.6% decline in May. The LEI is now down 1.8% over the first half of 2022.

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending July 21, 2022. The PMMS reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.54% with an average 0.8 point, up from last week when it averaged 5.51%.

The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 251,000 Americans (seasonally adjusted) made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, July 16, 2022. This is an increase of 7,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level of 244,000.

Statistics Canada reported on Wednesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) continues to rise. Driven by inflation, it rose 8.1% year-over-year in June, following a 7.7% increase in May. The June CPI increase was the largest year-over-year increase since January 1983.

The National Association of Realtors® reported on Wednesday that total existing home sales declined in three out of the four reporting regions in June. Sales were down by 5.4% from May to a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.12 million homes.

According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Application Survey, for the week ending July 15, 2022, the Market Composite Index (a measure of mortgage loan application volume) decreased 6.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

The U.S. Census Bureau reported on Tuesday that privately‐owned housing starts in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,559,000; this is 2.0% below the revised May estimate of 1,591,000 and 6.3% below the June 2021 rate of 1,664,000. Single-family housing starts in June were at a rate of 982,000; this is 8.1% below the revised May figure of 1,068,000.

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) released on Tuesday the results of its Builder Application Survey (BAS) data for June 2022. The BAS reveals that mortgage applications for new home purchases declined 10% month-over-month and 12% year-over-year in June. These changes do not include any adjustments.