News in end use

According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association, for the week ending May 13, 2022, the Market Composite Index (a measure of mortgage loan application volume) declined -11.0% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index declined -11.0% compared with the previous week.

Statistics Canada (StatsCan) reported today (5-17-22) that the investment in building construction in March rose 1.8% to $20.3 billion (CAD), a new record high. Gains were reported in both the residential and non-residential sector. On a constant dollar basis (2012=100), investment in building construction increased 1% to $12.3 billion.

On Tuesday (5-17-22), The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) reported that builder sentiment in the market for newly built single-family homes tumbled -8 points lower in May to a reading of 69. This marks the fifth consecutive month that builder sentiment has declined.

According to the new monthly Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Loan Monitoring Survey (LMS), the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by -11 basis points from 1.05% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior month to 0.94% as of April 30, 2022. The MBA estimates that 470,000 homeowners remain in forbearance plans.

The Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) reported today (5-16-22) that the trend in housing starts in Canada was 257,846 units in April, up from 253,226 units in March. This trend measure is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of housing starts.

According to statistics released on Monday by the Canadian Real Estate Association, home sales recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems declined -12.6% between March and April. The Aggregate Composite MLS® Home Price Index edged down -0.6% on a month-over-month basis in April—the first month-over-month decline since April 2020.

According to the latest Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index (BNCCI), a measure of sentiment based on weekly polling, Canadian consumer confidence recorded its sharpest weekly decline since the darkest moments of the pandemic, with inflation and deteriorating outlook for housing weighing on consumer confidence.

A closer look at the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ April Producer Price Index (PPI) report, which was released on Thursday (5-12-22), with further analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), reveals that the prices of goods used in residential construction (ex-energy and not seasonally adjusted) increased 0.5% in April.

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s latest Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily, mortgage loan originations increased 72% in Q1, when compared to the same period in 2021. In alignment with seasonality trends, originations during first three months of 2022 were -39% lower than Q4 of 2021.

In its latest report, which covers the four-week period ending May 8, 2022, Redfin, the Seattle-based, technology powered real estate company, reported that the typical home for sale found a buyer in 15 days. This is currently the fastest pace on record.