The ESR Group expects housing activity will slow modestly compared to previous projections, if the broad upward movement in mortgage rates since the start of the year is sustained.
News in end use
US Home Prices Climb 7.3% Year-Over-Year in April
US home prices increased 0.5% month-over-month and 7.3% year-over-year, on a seasonally adjusted basis, Redfin reported.
Canadian Consumer Price Index Declines Month-Over-Month in April
Year-over-year, the CPI rose 2.7%, down from a 2.9% gain in March. Broad-based deceleration in headline CPI was led by declines in food prices, cost of services, and durable goods.
US Median Home-Sale Price Increases in April, Setting Yet Another Record
The median US home-sale price increased 6.2% year-over-year to $433,558 in April—the highest level on record—Redfin reported.
Custom Home Building Slows in Q1
There were 34,000 total custom building starts during Q1, NAHB reported. This marks an almost 3% decline compared to 2023Q1.
Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Holds Steady in April
The number of loans in forbearance as of April 30th remained unchanged from March, holding at 0.22% of servicers’ portfolio volume, MBA reported.
Canadian Housing Starts Decline 1.0% Month-Over-Month in April
The seasonally adjusted annual rate for housing starts in Canada decreased 1.0% in April to 240,229 units, down from 242,267 units in March, CMHC reported.
Investment in Canadian Building Construction Up 4.5% in March
Investment in building construction increased 4.5% month-over-month to $20.4 billion (CAD) in March.
Single-Family Built-For-Rent Starts Expand 20% Year-Over-Year in Q1
There were approximately 18,000 single-family built-for-rent starts during Q1, 20% higher than 2023Q1, the Census Bureau and NAHB reported.
The Conference Board US Leading Economic Index Continues to Decline in April
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® decreased by 0.6% to 101.8 (2016=100) in April, following a 0.3% decrease in March.