The latest Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Forbearance and Call Survey reports that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 3 basis points from 4.22% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 4.19% as of May 16, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate, 2.1 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.
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The Conference Board Reports Consumer Confidence Held Steady in May
The Conference Board, a non-partisan, not-for-profit think tank founded in 1916, released today (5-25-21) their Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for May 2021. The CCI held steady in May following gains in April and a strong monthly gain in March. The Index now stands at 117.2 (1985=100), down slightly from 117.5 in April.
Canadian Dollar Closes in on 6-year High as Inflation Concerns Ease
On Friday (5-21-21), the Canadian Dollar rose against its U.S. counterpart as investors worries about U.S. inflation eased, while Canadian domestic data showed retail sales climbing in March and the Canadian Dollar moving close to a six-year high — established earlier in the week and completing its eighth straight weekly advances.
Half of Homes Sold Above Their Listing Price in the 4-week Period Ending May 16
According to Redfin, the Seattle-based technology-powered real estate brokerage, 50% of homes sold during the four weeks ending May 16, 2020 sold above their listing price. Year-over-year, this is an increase of 23 percentage points. During the four-week period, prices hit a record high of $352,975 and were up 24% year over year, also a record.
Canadian Financial Regulators Confirm New Qualifying Rates for Uninsured Borrowers Effective June 1st
On Thursday (5-20-21), Canadian financial regulators confirmed a new benchmark qualifying rate for uninsured borrowers would become effective on June 1, 2021. This occurred after the central bank earlier issued it strongest comments yet on the country’s red-hot housing market. Consultations with lenders over the move were launched in April.
Existing Home Sales Decline 2.7% in April
The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) is reporting that total existing home sales — which are completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops — declined in April for the third consecutive month, down -2.7% below March, to a seasonally adjusted rate at 5.85 million homes. Year-over-year sales are up 33.9% (4.37 million in April 2020).
Housing Market Shortages Have Fannie Mae Changing Several 2021 Economic Forecasts
Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Group (ESR) has revised several of its 2021 forecasts. A full month of sub 3% mortgage rates, ongoing housing market supply constraints, and a 300% increase in lumber pricing over the past 15-months prompted the forecast revision.
Canadian New Home Prices Increase 1.9% in April, 9.9% Year-Over-Year
Statistic Canada (StatsCan) is reporting that new home prices at the national level increased 1.9% in April. Prices were up in 22 of the 27 census metropolitan areas surveyed. Continuing increases in construction costs pushed home prices higher in April. In Q1 of 2021, single-family home costs increased by 6.8%, while townhouses rose 6.9%.
April Median Home Price Sets New Record High; Home Availability Sets New Record Low
According to Redfin, the Seattle-based technology powered real estate brokerage, the national median home-sale price hit a record high in April of $370,528 — up 22% year-over-year. April 2021 set other new records as well.
Custom Home Building Starts Reported Flat in Q1 2021
The most recent U.S. Census data of Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design, with analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), reveals that the market for custom home building continues to experience flat conditions amidst strong demand and rising material challenges. In Q1 of 2021, there were 36,000 total custom building starts.