News in end use

The latest Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Forbearance and Call Survey reports that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 4 basis points from 3.00% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 2.96% as of September 19, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate, 1.5 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.

The Conference Board, a non-partisan, not-for-profit think tank founded in 1916, released today (9-28-21) their Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for September 2021. The CCI declined in September, following decreases in both August and July. The Index now stands at 109.3 (1985=100), down from 115.2 in August.

According to the latest Federal Reserve Z.1 Financial Accounts of the United States (i.e., the “Flow of Funds”) with analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders, in Q2 of 2021 the aggregate market value of all owner-occupied real estate in the U.S. registered its largest quarterly increase in the past 21 years of data.

According to ATTOM™ Data Solutions, the Irvine, California-based nationwide provider of property data, the sharp and continued rise in property values continues to thwart the average wage earner in the U.S. ability to purchase a single-family home.

On Friday (9-24-21), The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly announced that new residential single-family home sales for August 2021 were at a SAAR of 740,000, according to estimates. This is 1.5% above the revised July rate of 729,000 but is -24.3% below the August 2020 estimate of 977,000.

Scheduled to expire on September 30, 2021, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced on Friday (9-24-21) that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (the Enterprise) will continue to offer COVID-19 forbearance to qualifying multifamily property owners, as needed, subject to the tenant protections FHFA has imposed during the pandemic.

Zillow Group Inc., the Seattle-based online real estate marketplace company, reported that real estate experts responding to their latest Zillow® Home Price Expectation Survey expect that desperately needed housing inventory is on the rise and expected to come primarily from sales by existing homeowners, among a host of other sources — the smallest of which is foreclosures.

The NAHB is reporting that the gap between the multifamily and single-family construction sector has been closing since early 2017, and as of June 2021, there are now almost an equal number of units under construction in both sectors. According to the NAHN, as of July there were 690,000 apartments and 691,000 single family homes under construction.

The Conference Board, a non-partisan, not-for-profit think tank founded in 1916, released today (9-23-21) the Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. in August. According to the report, the LEI for the U.S. increased by 0.9% in August to 117.1 (2016 = 100), following a 0.8% increase in July and a 0.6% increase in June.

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending September 23, 2021. The PMMS reports that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.88% with an average 0.7 point, up slightly from last week when it averaged 2.86%. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.90%.