Statistics Canada (StatsCan) reported today (1-13-22) that investment in building construction increased 1.2% to $18.0 billion (CAD) in November. Every component, except industrial construction, experienced an increase. On a constant dollar basis (2012=100), investment in building construction grew 0.5% to $12.3 billion. Overall, residential construction investment rose 1.5% to $13.1 billion in November.
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Home Prices Start 2022 at New Record High Levels
Redfin, the Seattle-based, technology-powered real estate brokerage firm, reveals in their latest housing market report (1-13-22) that, during the week ending January 9, 2022, the median home sale price increased year-over-year by 16%, reaching an all-time record high of $365,000. According to Redfin’s Homebuyer Demand Index (HDI), homebuyer activity jumped 9%, while the number of homes for sale fell to a new all-time low within the report’s time frame.
Producer Price Index for Final Demand Increases 0.2% in December
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported today (1-13-22) that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand, seasonally adjusted, increased 0.2% in December. The December rise follows a 1% increase in November and 0.6% increases in October, September, and August. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index rose 9.7% percent in 2021 — the largest calendar-year increase since data were first calculated in 2010.
Mortgage Rates Climb Higher in Week Ending January 13, 2022
Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending January 13, 2022. The PMMS reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.45% with an average 0.7 point, up from last week when it averaged 3.22%. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.79%.
Weekly Jobless Claims Increase in the Week Ending January 8, 2022
The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 230,000 Americans made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, January 8, 2022. This is an increase of 23,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level. The 4-week moving average was 210,750 — an increase of 6,250 from the previous week’s unrevised average.
Consumer Price Index Increases 0.5% in December and 7.0% Year-Over-Year
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Wednesday (1-12-22) that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5% in December on a seasonally adjusted annual basis. This follows a 0.8% increase in November and a 0.9% increase in October. Over the past 12-months, the all-item index has increased 7.0% before seasonal adjustment — the largest 12-month increase since the period ending June 1982.
Mortgage Applications Increase in Week Ending January 7, 2022
According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Application Survey (WMAS), for the week ending January 7, 2022, the Market Composite Index (a measure of mortgage loan application volume) increased 1.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 46% compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased -0.1% from the previous week.
Mortgage Delinquency Rates Reach Pre-Pandemic Levels in October
According to CoreLogic Loan Performance Report for October, mortgage delinquency rates reached their pre-pandemic levels in October. The drop in the delinquency rate is being credited to an improving labor market and home equity increases. According to the report, in October, 3.8% of mortgages were delinquent by at least 30 days, including foreclosure. CoreLogic’s expectations are that rates will continue to decline during 2022.
FEA’s Paul Jannke Provides Expert Analysis and Insight into North America’s Housing and Lumber Markets in 2022
With the U.S. economy and employment growing robustly in 2021 and 2022, interest rates remaining low by historical standards, many of the supply-side constraints that held back housing over the past half-decade resolved, and high pent-up demand, Jannke says that he expects housing starts will continue to grow from an average of 1.584 million units in 2021 to 1.618 million in 2022. Ultimately, he expects lumber prices will continue to be volatile in 2022.
Mortgage Credit Availability Increased in December
According to the latest Mortgage Bankers Association’s Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI), which analyzes data from Ellie Mae’s AllRegs® Market Clarity® business information tool, mortgage credit availability increased in December. The MCAI rose 0.8% in December to a reading of 125.9. A decline in the MCAI indicates that lending standards are tightening, while increases in the index are indicative of loosening credit.