The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) reported on Friday (2-18-22) that total existing home sales (completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops) rose 6.7% in January from December to a seasonally adjusted rate at 6.50 million homes.
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U.S. Leading Economic Index® Declines in January 2022
The Conference Board, a non-partisan, not-for-profit think tank founded in 1916, released today (2-18-22) the Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. in January 2022. According to the report, the LEI for the U.S. decreased by -0.3% in January to 119.6 (2016 = 100), following a 0.7% in increase in December and a 0.8% increase in November.
Canadian Unemployment Declines in all Provinces in December 2021
According to Statistics Canada (StatsCan), the number of Canadians receiving regular Employment Insurance (EI) benefits dropped by 56,000 (-8.1%) in December to 636,000. The number of regular EI beneficiaries fell in all provinces in December.
U.S. Building Permits Creep Higher, While Housing Starts and Completions Decline in January 2022
The U.S. Census Bureau reported on Thursday (2-17-22) that privately‐owned housing starts in January were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 1,638,000. This is -4.1% below the revised December estimate of 1,708,000 but is 0.8% above the January 2021 rate of 1,625,000.
Single-Family Built-for-Rent Construction Starts Increase 15.9% Year-Over-Year
There were approximately 15,000 single-family built-for-rent (SFBFR) starts during the final quarter of 2021. Over the course of 2021, 51,000 such homes began construction, which is a 15.9% gain compared to the 44,000 estimated SFBFR starts in 2020.
Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group Down Grades 2022 GDP Expectations
The combination of a less accommodative interest rate environment and an increasingly worker-scarce labor market led the ESR Group to downgrade its expectations for 2022 real GDP growth from 3.1% to 2.8%; however, its expectations for 2023 headline growth remained unchanged at 2.2%, a pace that approaches the long-run trend.
Mortgage Rates Climb Higher in the Week Ending February 17, 2022
Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending February 17, 2022. The PMMS reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.92% with an average 0.8 point, up from last week when it averaged 3.69%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.81%.
Weekly Jobless Claims Increase in the Week Ending February 12, 2022
The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 248,000 Americans made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, February 12, 2022. This is an increase of 23,000 from the previous week’s revised level. The 4-week moving average was 243,250.
Led by Lumber, Costs of Residential Construction Products Continued to Rise in January
A closer examination of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Producer Price Index (PPI) report, released on Tuesday (2-15-22), with analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders, reveals that the price of products used in residential construction in January, less energy, increased 3.6% (not seasonally adjusted).
Canadian Home Sales Edge Higher Month-Over-Month but Remain Down Year-Over-Year in January
According to statistics released on Wednesday (2-16-22) by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), home sales recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems edged up 1% between December 2021 and January 2022. CREA is reporting that activity has been generally stable now for four months, running in between the record-highs of last spring and the slowdown posted last summer.