The Conference Board released today the Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US in December. The LEI declined 1.0% in December to a reading of 110.5 (2016=100), following a 1.1% decline in November. The LEI has dropped 4.2% over the six-month period from June to December.
News in end use
Building Materials Costs Decline Month-Over-Month in December
A closer look at the Bureau of Labor Statistics December Producer Price Index (PPI) report reveals that the prices of goods used in residential construction ex-energy and not seasonally adjusted declined 0.3% in December—the fourth consecutive monthly decline.
Lower Mortgage Rates Rejuvenate Buyer Interest, and Home Sale Prices Are on the Rise
Redfin reported on Thursday that in the four weeks ending January 15th, the median US home-sale price increased 0.9% from a year earlier to $350,250. This is the biggest increase in a month.
New Home Mortgage Applications Declined Month-Over-Month and Year-Over-Year in December
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported on Friday that data from its Builder Application Survey for December revealed mortgage applications for new home purchases decreased 5% month-over-month and 25.2% year-over-year.
Existing Home Sales Down Month-Over-Month and Year-Over-Year in December
The National Association of Realtors® reported on Friday that total existing home sales—completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops—recorded a 1.5% monthly decline in December, reaching a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.02 million homes.
US Housing Starts, Permits, and Completions All Fell in December
The US Census Bureau reported on Thursday that privately‐owned housing starts in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,382,000. This is 1.4% below the revised November estimate of 1,401,000. Single-family housing starts in December were at a rate of 909,000.
Remodeling Sentiment Dipped in Q4 but Remains in Optimistic Territory
According to the National Association of Home Builders/Westlake Royal Remodeling Index for 2022Q4, remodelers market sentiment declined 17 points year-over-year, from a reading of 83 in 2021Q4 to a reading of 66 in 2022Q4.
Fixed Mortgage Rates Move Lower for Third Consecutive Week
Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® for the week ending January 19, 2023. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.15%, down from last week when it averaged 6.33%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year rate averaged 3.56%.
US Weekly Jobless Claims Decrease
The US Department of Labor is reporting that the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims was 190,000 during the week ending on Saturday, January 14, 2023. This is a decrease of 15,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level of 205,000.
Producer Price Index for Final Demand Declines 0.5% in December—Up 6.2% For All of 2022
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand, seasonally adjusted, declined 0.5% in December, following a 0.2% increase in November and a 0.4% increase in October.