News in end use

The most recent U.S. Census Bureau’s Quarterly Sales by Price and Financing with analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reveals that conventional loans financed the largest share of new home sales since 2018. The share of sales backed by conventional loans in the Q1 2021 increased 2.8 percentage points (quarter-over-quarter) to 71.6% and 2.1 percentage points since Q1 2020.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, which covers all nine U.S. Census divisions, reported that home prices experienced a 12.0% annual gain in February 2021, up from 11.2% in January. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 11.7%, up from 10.9% in the previous month.

The latest Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Forbearance and Call Survey reports that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 1 basis point from 4.50% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 4.49% as of April 18, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate, 2.25 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.

The Conference Board, a non-partisan, not-for-profit think tank founded in 1916, released today (4-27-21) their Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for April 2021. The CCI climbed higher in April, this following a strong monthly gain in March. The Index now stands at 121.7 (1985=100), up from 109.0 in March.

Redfin, the Seattle-based, technology-powered real estate brokerage is reporting that year-over-year, for the 4-week period ending Sunday, April 18, 2021, the median home-sale price increased 18% to $344,625, setting yet another all-time record high. Providing further evidence of a housing market where demand greatly exceeds supply.

According to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Q1 2021, Housing Trends Report (HTR), 16% of American adults are considering purchasing a home within the next 12-months. That is a 6-point increase over 2020, and marks the third (and largest) year-over-year gain in the share of prospective buyers in the HTR’s history.

The U.S. Census Bureau reported that new residential single-family home sales for March 2021 were at a SAAR of 1,021,000, according to estimates. This is 20.7% above the revised February rate of 846,000 and is 66.8% above the March 2020 estimate of 612,000.

Statistics Canada (StatsCan) is reporting that February Employment Insurance (EI) reflecting the week of February 14 through February 20, shows the number of Canadians receiving regular EI benefits rose 3.6% (+53,000) to 1.5 million in February, following an 11.2% increase in January.

The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) is reporting that total existing home sales — which are completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops — declined in March for the second month in a row, down -3.7% below February to a seasonally adjusted rate at 6.01 million homes.

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending April 22, 2021. The PMMS reports that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.97% percent with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.04%. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.33%.