News in end use

The Conference Board, a non-partisan, not-for-profit think tank founded in 1916, released today (5-25-21) their Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) for May 2021. The CCI held steady in May following gains in April and a strong monthly gain in March. The Index now stands at 117.2 (1985=100), down slightly from 117.5 in April.

On Friday (5-21-21), the Canadian Dollar rose against its U.S. counterpart as investors worries about U.S. inflation eased, while Canadian domestic data showed retail sales climbing in March and the Canadian Dollar moving close to a six-year high — established earlier in the week and completing its eighth straight weekly advances.

According to Redfin, the Seattle-based technology-powered real estate brokerage, 50% of homes sold during the four weeks ending May 16, 2020 sold above their listing price. Year-over-year, this is an increase of 23 percentage points. During the four-week period, prices hit a record high of $352,975 and were up 24% year over year, also a record.

On Thursday (5-20-21), Canadian financial regulators confirmed a new benchmark qualifying rate for uninsured borrowers would become effective on June 1, 2021. This occurred after the central bank earlier issued it strongest comments yet on the country’s red-hot housing market. Consultations with lenders over the move were launched in April.

The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) is reporting that total existing home sales — which are completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops — declined in April for the third consecutive month, down -2.7% below March, to a seasonally adjusted rate at 5.85 million homes. Year-over-year sales are up 33.9% (4.37 million in April 2020).

Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Group (ESR) has revised several of its 2021 forecasts. A full month of sub 3% mortgage rates, ongoing housing market supply constraints, and a 300% increase in lumber pricing over the past 15-months prompted the forecast revision.

Statistic Canada (StatsCan) is reporting that new home prices at the national level increased 1.9% in April. Prices were up in 22 of the 27 census metropolitan areas surveyed. Continuing increases in construction costs pushed home prices higher in April. In Q1 of 2021, single-family home costs increased by 6.8%, while townhouses rose 6.9%.

According to Redfin, the Seattle-based technology powered real estate brokerage, the national median home-sale price hit a record high in April of $370,528 — up 22% year-over-year. April 2021 set other new records as well.

The most recent U.S. Census data of Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design, with analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), reveals that the market for custom home building continues to experience flat conditions amidst strong demand and rising material challenges. In Q1 of 2021, there were 36,000 total custom building starts.

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending May 20, 2021. The PMMS reports that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.00% with an average 0.6 point, up from last week when it averaged 2.94%. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.24%.