News in end use

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) is reporting that builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes declined 2 points to a reading of 81 in June. This is its lowest level since August of 2020 and after builder confidence topped at a level of 90 last November.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported today (6-15-21) that the Producer Price Index for final demand, seasonally adjusted, increased 0.8% percent in May. Final demand prices rose 0.6% in April and 1.0% in March and 0.5% in February.

The latest Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Forbearance and Call Survey reports that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 12 basis points from 4.16% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 4.04% as of June 6, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate that still 2 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.

According to Redfin, the Seattle-based technology-powered real estate brokerage company, the number of buyers who locked in mortgage rates to purchase a second home nationwide rose 48% year-over-year in May. While that is a lofty number, it is the first time in a year that annual growth rate fell below 80%.

According to the latest results from the Federal Reserve’s Z.1 Financial Accounts of the United States, also known as the ‘Flow of Funds”, with analysis provided by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) in Q1 of 2021, the aggregate market value of all owner-occupied real estate in the US registered the largest numerical quarterly increase in the last 20 years’ worth of data.

According to Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI), which analyzes data from the Ellie Mae’s AllRegs® Market Clarity® business information tool, mortgage credit availability increased in May. The MCAI rose by 1.4% to 129.9.

The University of Michigan today (6-11-21) released its preliminary Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June. Month-over-month the ICS rose 4.2% from 82.9% in May to 86.4% in June. When compared to June 2020, the ICS increased 10.6% or 78.1% to 86.4%.

Statistics Canada (StatsCan) is reporting that total investment in building construction increased 6.3% to $19.9 billion (CAD) in April. Residential construction investment continues to lead the way, rising for the 12th consecutive month.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced on Thursday (6-10-21) the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers (CI-U) increased 0.6% in May, on a seasonally adjusted basis, after rising 0.8% in April. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 5.0% before seasonal adjustment.

The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 376,000 Americans made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, June 5, 2021 — a decrease of 9,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level.