Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp (CMHC) reported on Wednesday (9-15-21) that the annual pace of housing starts in Canada in August slowed when compared with July, as the rate of new home construction continued to decline from their highs earlier in the year. According to the CMHC, the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts was 260,239 units in August, down from 270,744 in July.
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Contractor Confidence Declines in August as Construction Backlog Indicator Tumbles Lower
The Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) reported on Tuesday (9-14-21) that is Construction Backlog Indicator, the results of an ABC member survey, declined significantly to a reading of 7.7 months in August. The reading is down -0.8 months month-over-month (July vs. August) and down 0.3 months year-over-year (August 2020 vs. August 2021).
Canadian Consumer Price Index Increases 4.1% Year-Over-Year
Statistics Canada (StatsCan) reported today (9-16-21) that the Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 4.1% on a year-over-year basis in August, up from a 3.7% gain in July. This is the fastest growth rate in the CPI since March 2003.
Mortgage Rates Move Slightly Lower in the Week Ending September 16, 2021
Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending September 16, 2021. The PMMS reports that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.86% with an average 0.7 point, down slightly from last week when it averaged 2.88%. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.87%.
Weekly Jobless Claims Increase in the Week Ending September 11, 2021
The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 332,000 Americans made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, September 11, 2021. This is an increase of 20,000 from the previous week’s revised level.
Softwood Lumber Pricing Drags Down the Canadian Industrial Product Price Index in August
Statistics Canada (StatsCan) released today (9-15-21) its early/flash estimates of the Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) for August. The final version will be released on September 29th. According to the early release, the IPPI decreased -0.3% month-over-month in August.
Mortgage Applications Increase Marginally in the Week Ending September 10, 2021
According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Application Survey (WMAS), for the week ending September 10, 2021 (with an adjustment for the Labor Day holiday), the Market Composite Index — a measure of mortgage loan application volume — increased 0.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.
Manufactured Sales in Canada Fell -1.5% in July with Wood Products Leading the Decline
Statistics Canada (StatCan) reported today (9-14-21) that manufacturing sales fell -1.5% in July to $59.6 billion (C$), following a 3.6% increase in June. Sales were down in 12 of 21 industries, led by the wood products’ decline of -21.8% and aerospace products and parts falling -19.0%.
Consumer Price Index Increases 0.3% in August and 5.3% Year-Over-Year
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Tuesday (9-14-21) that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3% in August on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.5% in July. Over the past 12-months, the all-item index has increased 5.3% before seasonal adjustment.
Forbearance Exits at their Fastest Pace Since March During the Week Ending September 5, 2021
The latest Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Forbearance and Call Survey reports that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 15 basis points from 3.23% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 3.08% as of September 5, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate, 1.5 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.