Further data from the National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) latest Housing Trends Report (HTR) reveals that the share of prospective buyers who are actively searching for a home declined in three of the four Census regions between the Q2 and Q3 of 2021: in the South, from 58% to 51%; in the West, from 72% to 65%; and in the Northeast, from 66% to 65%.
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Mortgage Applications Decline in the Week Ending October 29, 2021
According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Application Survey (WMAS) for the week ending October 22, 2021, the Market Composite Index — a measure of mortgage loan application volume — decreased -3.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased by -4% compared with the previous week.
ADP Reports Private Sector Employment Increased by 571,000 Jobs in October — Nearly 5 Million Year to Date
According to the October ADP® National Employment Report™, nonfarm private sector employment increased by 571, 000 jobs from September to October. The ADP National Employment Report is produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics. The report, which is derived from ADP’s actual payroll data, measures the change in total nonfarm private employment each month on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Total Value of Building Permits in Canada Increases 4.3% in September
Statistics Canada (StatsCan) reported today (11-2-21) that the total value of building permits in Canada increased 4.3% in September 2021 to $10.1 billion (CAD). Construction intentions in the residential sector were up 8.2%, while the non-residential sector decreased 3.2%. Overall, the residential sector rose 8.2% in September to $6.9 billion.
Third Quarter U.S. Residential Vacancies and Homeownership Survey Unchanged from Q2 2021
The U.S. Census Bureau today (11-2-21) announced its Housing Vacancy Survey (CPS/HVS) for Q3 2021. CPS/HVS reveals that the U.S. homeownership rate was flat at 65.4% in Q3. The homeownership rate of 65.4% was -2.0 percentage points lower than the rate in Q3 2020 (67.4%) and virtually the same as the rate in Q2 2021 (65.4%).
Shares of Loans in Forbearance Inched Lower During the Week Ending October 24, 2021
The latest Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Forbearance and Call Survey reports that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 6 basis points from 2.21% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 2.15% as of October 24, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate, 1.1 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.
U.S. Construction Spending in September Rose 7.8% Year-Over-Year But Fell Slightly Month-Over-Month
The U.S. Census Bureau has announced on Monday (11-1-21) that total construction spending during September 2021 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $1,573.6 billion, -0.05% below the revised August estimate of $1,582.0 billion.
Housing Market Speeding Up — Uncommon for this Time of Year
Redfin, the Seattle-based technology-powered real estate company, is reporting that during the four-week period ending October 28, 2021, one-third of homes sold in that period went under contract within seven days of hitting the market.
Potential Home Buyers’ Perception of Housing Affordability Declines for Third Consecutive Quarter
According to the National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) latest Housing Trend Report (HTR), buyers’ perception of home affordability declined further in Q3 of 2021. In Q3, 73% of buyers estimated that they could afford less than half the homes available for sale in their markets.
Canada’s Industrial Product Price Index Increases Month-Over-Month and Year-Over-Year in September
Statistics Canada (StatsCan) reported today (10-29-21) that the price of products manufactured in Canada, as measured by the Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI), increased 1.0% month-over-month in September and 14.9% year-over-year.