News in end use

Statistics Canada (StatsCan) reported today (2-16-22) that Canadian inflation in January 2022 surpassed 5% for the first time since September 1991, rising 5.1% on a year-over-year basis and up from a 4.8% gain in December 2021. The Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 1.0% on an annual average basis in January 2022. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.9% in January.

According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Application Survey (WMAS), for the week ending February 11, 2022, the Market Composite Index—a measure of mortgage loan application volume—decreased -5.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index declined -3.0% compared with the previous week.

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) reported on Wednesday (2-16-22) that builder sentiment in the market for newly built single-family homes edged 1-point lower in February to a reading of 82. This marks the second consecutive month the HMI has slipped 1-point lower.

According to data released today (2-15-22) by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the trend in housing starts declined in January 2022 to 254,133 units, down from 261,352 units in December 2021. This trend measure is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) of housing starts.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported today (2-15-22) that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand, seasonally adjusted, increased 1.0% in January 2022. The January rise follows a revised 0.4% increase in December, a 0.9% increase in November, and 0.6% increases in October, September, and August.

According to the latest Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI), which analyzes data from the ICE Mortgage Technology, mortgage credit availability decreased in January. The MCAI fell by -0.9% to a reading of 124.8 in January. A decline in the MCAI indicates that lending standards are tightening.

According to today’s (2-14-22) release of the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations, loan originations in Q4 2021 were 79% higher year-over-year and 44% higher from Q3 2021. The surge in Q4 2021 was led by increases in originations for hotel, office, industrial, and retail properties.

Statistics Canada (StatsCan) reported on Thursday (2-10-22) that investment in building construction in December increased by 1.9% to 18.4 billion (CAD). Gains were recorded in both the residential and non-residential sectors. On a constant dollar basis (2012=100), investment in building construction grew 1.2% to $11.5 billion.

According to the latest report (2-10-22) from Redfin, the Seattle-based, technology-powered real estate brokerage, the estimated monthly mortgage payment for a typical home for sale rose 25% year-over-year, or $388, to a record high of $1,931. The figures are based on the all-time high median asking price of $376,000, recorded during the four weeks ending February 6th, and an average 30-year mortgage rate of 3.69%.

The University of Michigan today (Friday 2-11-22) released its preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) for February. The Index of Consumer Sentiment declined to a reading of 61.7 in February, down from 67.2 in January. The decline is a month-over-month decrease of -8.2% and down -19.7% year-over-year (76.8 in February 2021).