News in end use

Fannie Mae today (6-7-22) released its Home Purchase Sentiment Index® (HPSI) for May. The HPSI declined in May by -0.3 points to a reading of 68.2. The index is now closer to its 10-year and pandemic-low of 63.0, recorded in April of 2020. Year-over-year (May 2021 – May 2022) the HPSI is down 11.8 points.

Redfin is reporting that the month of May marked a turning point in the pandemic housing craze, as buyers regained some control over the housing market. However, the increased sense of buyer control came with a great cost, as 5%+ mortgage rates and record-high prices have eliminated many buyers from the market.

The latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI) reveals that the median monthly payment for a new mortgage in April rose 8.8% to $1,889, up from March when it was $1,736. The national PAPI increased 7.8% to a reading of 162.7 in April, up from March’s reading of 150.9.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported today (6-3-22) that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 390,000 in May. This follows April’s upward-revised figure of 436,000, (+8,000) and March’s downward-revised figure of 398,000 (-30,000). With these revisions, employment in March and April combined is -22,000 lower than previously reported.

Statistics Canada reported today that the total value of building permits in Canada declined in -0.6% in April to $11.7 billion (CAD). The decline in residential permits of -3.3% were offset by gains in the non-residential sector of 5.0%. Single-family home construction intentions declined -2.0%. Multi-family building permits pulled back -4.4%.

According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau, continued improvement in the multifamily sector in Q4 of 2021 was the direct result of strong demand and low vacancy rates. Conversely, the decline in the number of apartment and condominium completions in Q4 of 2021 seemed to reflect the ongoing challenges within the supply chain.

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending June 2, 2022. The PMMS reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.09% with an average 0.8 point, down from last week when it averaged 5.10%. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.99%.

According to the March ADP® National Employment Report™ released today (6-2-22), nonfarm private sector employment increased by 128,000 jobs from April to May. The ADP National Employment Report is produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics.

According to the latest Job Cut Report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. based employers announced 20,712 job cuts in May. This is a -14.7% decrease from 24,286 announced in April. Year-over-year, it is -15.8% lower from the 24,586 cuts announced in May of 2021.

The U.S. Department of Labor is reporting that an additional 200,000 Americans (seasonally adjusted) made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, May 28, 2022. This is a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level. The 4-week moving average was 206,500.