News in end use

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released today its “second estimate” of real gross domestic product (GDP) for Q1 of 2022. According to the report, real GDP in Q1 declined at an annual rate of -1.5%. This follows a 6.9% increase in GDP in Q4 of 2022. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data.

Freddie Mac has released its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for the week ending May 26, 2022. The PMMS reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.10% with an average 0.9 point, down from last week when it averaged 5.25%. A year ago, at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.95%.

An additional 210,000 Americans (seasonally adjusted) made their initial filing for unemployment benefits during the week ending on Saturday, May 21, 2022. This is a decrease of 8,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level. The 4-week moving average was 206,750, an increase of 7,250 from the previous week’s unrevised average.

According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association, for the week ending May 20, 2022, the Market Composite Index (a measure of mortgage loan application volume) declined -1.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index declined -2.0% compared with the previous week.

New data from Realtor.com’s Monthly Rental Report reveals that the U.S. median rental prices hit a new record high of $1,827. April data from Realtor.com showed national rents maintained their record-breaking run that began in January 2021.

New residential single-family home sales for April 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 591,000, according to estimates. This is -16.6% below the revised March rate of 709,000 and is -26.9% below the April 2021 estimate of 809,000. This marks the fourth consecutive monthly decline of new single-family homes.

In Q1 of 2022, residential construction loan volume reached a post-Great Recession high, as home building activity entered a new year with higher interest rates. With the single-family building markets slowing in 2022, it is expected that the volume of such loads will likely peak in the upcoming quarters.

According to the latest results of the National Association of Home Builders’ Multifamily Market Survey (MMS), confidence in the market for new multifamily housing moved lower in Q1 of 2022. The MMS produces two main indices, the Multifamily Production Index (MPI) and the Multifamily Occupancy Index (MOI), both of which were lower.

According to Redfin, the housing market inventory crunch in April showed signs of easing. The -9% year-over-year decline in homes for sale was the smallest since March of 2020 and the first single-digit drop since the start of the pandemic. Home sales slid -8%, the biggest drop since June 2020. The median home-sale price rose 16% to $424,000.

A deeper dive into the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment summary for April, with a state-by-state view and a focus on construction, reveals that nonfarm payroll employment increased month-over-month in 41 states and the District of Columbia in April, while 8 states lost jobs and North Dakota reported no change.