News in end use

Fannie Mae on Wednesday released its Home Purchase Sentiment Index® (HPSI) for November. The HPSI increased 0.6 points to a reading of 57.3—the first increase recorded in the past nine months. Nonetheless, the HPSI remains just above the all-time low that was established last month in October.

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Application Survey, for the week ending December 2nd, the Market Composite Index (a measure of mortgage loan application volume) decreased 1.9% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 36.0%.

According to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of construction spending data published by the US Census Bureau on Thursday, national nonresidential construction declined by 0.3% in October. On a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, nonresidential spending totaled $898.4 billion.

According to analysis by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) of its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), in November, 36% of single-family home builders reported reducing their prices and 59% were offering special sales inducements. The NAHB says that these are paltry when compared to financial crisis of 2007-2008.

Black Knight is reporting in their December 5th mortgage monitor report that the ongoing home price correction is exposing a growing pocket of equity risk concentrated among purchases mortgage originating in 2022. Of all homes purchased with a mortgage in 2022, 8% are not at least marginally underwater.

The National Association of Home Builders is reporting that slower new homes sales pushed residential construction loan volumes to a post-Great Recession high during 2022Q3. Outstanding builder loan balances are rising as development debt is being held longer as new homes remain in inventory longer.

Statistics Canada reported today that the total value of building permits in Canada fell 1.4% to $10.0 billion (CAD) in October. On a constant dollar basis (2012=100), the total value of building permits decreased 0.9% to $6.0 billion.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics today reported that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 263,000 in November. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7% and has been in a narrow range of 3.5% to 3.7% since March.

Redfin is reporting that a record 2% of US homes for sale were delisted each week on average during the 12-weeks ending November 20th. During the same period in 2021, the delisting rate was 1.6%. The share has come down slightly since November 20th.

Statistics Canada reported today that employment in Canada was little changed in November, adding just 10,000 new positions. This follows an increase of 108,000, or 0.6%, in October. Employment increased in Quebec but declined in five provinces.