The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® declined 0.4% in July to a reading of 105.8 (2016=100). The LEI has dropped 4.0% over the six-month period from January to July.
News in end use
Canadian Unemployment Increases for Second Consecutive Month in June
In June, 410,000 Canadians received regular Employment Insurance benefits, up 7,300, or 1.8%, from May. Still, this is far below the number of recipients a year ago.
US Weekly Jobless Claims Decline in the Week Ending August 12th
The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims was 239,000 during the week ending Saturday, August 12th. This is a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week.
US Housing Starts and Permits Rise but Completions Fall in July
Privately‐owned housing starts in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 1,452,000. This is 3.9% above the revised June estimate of 1,398,000 and 5.9% above the July 2022 rate of 1,371,000.
Canadian Housing Starts Decline Month-Over-Month in July
The standalone monthly SAAR of total housing starts for all areas in Canada decreased 10% in July to 254,966 units, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reported.
Mortgage Applications Decline in the Week Ending August 11th—The Fourth Consecutive Drop
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, mortgage loan application volume decreased 0.8% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. Unadjusted, the index decreased 2.0%.
Single-Family Built-For-Rent Construction Market Cools as Investors React to Tighter Financial Conditions
Single-family built-for-rent construction has cooled as investor interest has pulled back on tighter financial conditions, according to the US Census Bureau and the National Association of Home Builders.
Home Price Gains Reported in 60% of US Metro Areas in Q2
Almost 60% of metro markets—or 128 out of 221—registered home price gains in 2023Q2, according to the latest quarterly report from the National Association of Realtors®.
Canadian Homes Sales Decline 0.7% Month-Over-Month in July, Canadian Real Estate Association Reports
Home sales recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems posted a 0.7% month-over-month decline in July, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association.
US Builder Sentiment Declines in August
The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index reported that builder sentiment in the market for newly built single-family homes declined 6 points in August to a reading of 50.