Fannie Mae Adjusts Housing Activity Forecast

On Monday, the Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group released its Economic and Housing Outlook for April.

The ESR Group expects single-family home sales to close 2025 at 4.86 million units, and new single-family construction is expected to total approximately 964,000 units this year.

Revisions to the housing forecast were driven by a combination of recent actuals and adjustments to the ESR Group’s expectations for the macroeconomy, including economic growth, which is forecast at 0.5% for full-year 2025 and 1.9% for 2026.

The ESR Group anticipates mortgage rates to end 2025 at 6.2% and 2026 at 6.0%, and projects home prices, as measured by the Fannie Mae Home Price Index (FNM-HPI), will rise 4.1% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026.


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